Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl

VS
Kentucky (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
21 |
193.25 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
5 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
114 |
142.83 |
Houston |
450.00 |
12 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
90 |
336.08 |
Houston |
581.23 |
10 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
63 |
27.17 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
8 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
100 |
183.17 |
Texas |
62.15 |
11 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
23 |
110.83 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
6 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
59 |
362.92 |
TCU |
233.25 |
10 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
44 |
22.83 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
7 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
31 |
37.16 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
4 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
17 |
13.08 |
LSU |
18.64 |
3 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
24 |
23.85 |
TCU |
30.62 |
5 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
T-46 |
.25 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
6 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
18 |
179.75 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
7 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
109 |
108.86 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
11 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
T-104 |
1.33 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
11 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
92 |
5.00 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
12 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
24 |
1.25 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
5 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Clemson (8-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Atlantic Coast
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
44 |
169.62 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
3 |
Georgia Tech |
307.15 |
| Passing Offense |
86 |
195.92 |
Houston |
450.00 |
7 |
Duke |
305.00 |
| Total Offense |
69 |
365.54 |
Houston |
581.23 |
8 |
Georgia Tech |
442.69 |
| Scoring Offense |
24 |
31.92 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
2 |
Georgia Tech |
35.31 |
| Rushing Defense |
69 |
150.31 |
Texas |
62.15 |
7 |
North Carolina |
92.83 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
24 |
111.27 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
3 |
Virginia Tech |
96.19 |
| Total Defense |
22 |
317.15 |
TCU |
233.25 |
3 |
North Carolina |
267.75 |
| Scoring Defense |
27 |
21.00 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
4 |
Virginia Tech |
15.75 |
| Net Punting |
109 |
32.72 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
12 |
Virginia Tech |
37.37 |
| Punt Returns |
9 |
14.38 |
LSU |
18.64 |
2 |
Florida St. |
16.81 |
| Kickoff Returns |
25 |
23.80 |
TCU |
30.62 |
2 |
Virginia Tech |
24.03 |
| Turnover Margin |
39 |
.38 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
3 |
Virginia Tech |
.67 |
| Pass Defense |
11 |
166.85 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
2 |
Virginia Tech |
161.42 |
| Passing Efficiency |
72 |
125.69 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
8 |
Georgia Tech |
157.43 |
| Sacks |
25 |
2.62 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
1 |
Clemson |
2.62 |
| Tackles For Loss |
13 |
7.46 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
2 |
North Carolina |
8.42 |
| Sacks Allowed |
37 |
1.46 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
2 |
Georgia Tech |
.69 |
Preview by: nmerritt11
Well there is no doubt this game in going to be interesting. Any time you pit an ACC team v/s an SEC team it demands attention. Kentucky’s coaches have been saying all week that Clemson is an SEC team in the ACC. They are loaded with size, speed,
and talent. Overall on paper this game shouldn’t even be close. Clemson
is by far the superior team but will the fact they went from ACC
championship game to ACC bowl #5 keep their motivation low. This is
basically a home game for the Wildcats and Nashville will be a sea of
blue.
What to watch for:
Clemson’s Perimeter Running Game: Kentucky has been very good stopping the interior running game but teams have had success
on the corners. With CJ’s lighting speed and above average blocking
tight ends and WR look for Clemson to go to the corner early and often.
That is where they seemed to find success against GT. Dabo has already
said he is going to ride CJ all day
long. CJ is determined to finish his career with a bowl victory. He
needs right at 350 all-purpose yards to be the NCAA all time leading
yardage record holder and Dabo seems ready to do everything possible to
get him there. Kentucky better have a game plan for #28, and they will
have to do it without their best linebacker, Sam Maxwell who is out for
this one.
Wildcat’s Wildcat: SEC most
versatile player Randall Cobb could be the wildcard this game. Clemson
has struggled mightily against the wildcat offense and running QB. They
spent a large part of their bowl practices trying to overhaul their
wildcat defense. Sophomore and former Freshman All-American Brandon
Maye has taken responsibility for not getting the job done. He is the
quarterback of the Clemson defense and will have to call a perfect
game. Clemson’s aggressive defense seems to over run and miss the
correct gaps often against the Wildcat. If they do that against Cobb,
they could be in for a long day because he has big play ability.
Clemson’s Defensive Line Depth: Normally
strength of the Tigers, Clemson comes in with talented lineman Jamie
Cumbie and Rennie Moore suspended for this game. Brandon Thompson and
Jarvis Jenkins will not be spelled as much and will have to pull double
duty. Clemson is talented enough in their 3 deep to go to the bench but
they don’t want to have to do it often with Kentucky’s rush attack.
They need to be a staple along with Bowers and Sapp in the back field
to disrupt Freshman QB Morgan Newton, who was Clemson’s top QB recruit
in last years class. Look for Clemson to use multiple packages moving
Bowers interior and Malliciah Goodman on the end to upgrade spped and
try to confuse and disrupt the young QB.
Teams Motivation: The talk of
the town is Clemson being disappointed about playing in Nashville but
Kentucky isn’t exactly excited about being there either. It will be
interesting to see which team comes out ready to play. I can tell you
this; if Clemson wins the toss I bet you will see #28 and #6 awaiting a
kick-off from the Wildcats. Dabo is different than most coaches and
likes to talk the ball first to set the tone. With spiller, he knows he
doesn’t need his defense to get a stop to begin the field position
battle! With Spiller and Ford’s big play ability, they could easily set
the tone for the ball game. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Cobb
very early to try and control the clock with the Wildcat and keep the
high powered Clemson offense on the sidelines.
This game has the make-up to be a good
one. The two teams met in this same bowl 3 years ago where Kentucky
manhandled the Tigers in a 28-20 win that was not near as close as the
score indicates. Spiller and teammate James Davis were held to next to
no yards. Spiller only had 5 touches which almost lead to his transfer
to Florida. Between the two they only had 12 touches and Clemson fans
were irate. Do not look for that to happen tonight! That being said,
Clemson rides Spiller to a 38-24 win in Nashville and Spiller comes up
just short of the All-Time NCAA All-Purpose record but does eclipse the
250 yard mark with 3 touchdowns to end his collegiate career!
Advocare Independence Bowl

VS
Texas A&M (6-6) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big 12
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
25 |
190.42 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
2 |
Oklahoma St. |
191.75 |
| Passing Offense |
22 |
274.92 |
Houston |
450.00 |
6 |
Texas Tech |
380.67 |
| Total Offense |
5 |
465.33 |
Houston |
581.23 |
1 |
Texas A&M |
465.33 |
| Scoring Offense |
15 |
33.92 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
3 |
Texas |
40.69 |
| Rushing Defense |
87 |
168.58 |
Texas |
62.15 |
10 |
Texas |
62.15 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
84 |
135.56 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
12 |
Nebraska |
90.54 |
| Total Defense |
107 |
431.33 |
TCU |
233.25 |
12 |
Texas |
251.08 |
| Scoring Defense |
104 |
32.67 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
12 |
Nebraska |
11.23 |
| Net Punting |
92 |
33.87 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
10 |
Oklahoma |
40.86 |
| Punt Returns |
97 |
6.24 |
LSU |
18.64 |
10 |
Oklahoma |
16.72 |
| Kickoff Returns |
45 |
22.59 |
TCU |
30.62 |
6 |
Texas |
27.38 |
| Turnover Margin |
66 |
-.08 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
8 |
Texas |
.92 |
| Pass Defense |
111 |
262.75 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
12 |
Oklahoma |
184.92 |
| Passing Efficiency |
34 |
140.15 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
3 |
Texas |
143.70 |
| Sacks |
8 |
2.92 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
5 |
Texas Tech |
3.25 |
| Tackles For Loss |
39 |
6.33 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
7 |
Texas |
8.08 |
| Sacks Allowed |
73 |
2.25 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
7 |
Oklahoma St. |
.83 |
Georgia (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
54 |
157.08 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
9 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
78 |
204.75 |
Houston |
450.00 |
7 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
73 |
361.83 |
Houston |
581.23 |
8 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
58 |
27.67 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
7 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
41 |
127.58 |
Texas |
62.15 |
3 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
90 |
137.14 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
11 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
30 |
328.42 |
TCU |
233.25 |
7 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
70 |
26.42 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
10 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
1 |
42.84 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
1 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
41 |
10.64 |
LSU |
18.64 |
4 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
76 |
21.03 |
TCU |
30.62 |
11 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
119 |
-1.42 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
12 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
33 |
200.83 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
10 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
47 |
132.67 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
6 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
36 |
2.33 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
4 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
16 |
7.08 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
2 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-12 |
1.00 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
1 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Chick-fil-a Bowl

VS
Virginia Tech (9-3) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Atlantic Coast
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
15 |
206.42 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
2 |
Georgia Tech |
307.15 |
| Passing Offense |
98 |
181.83 |
Houston |
450.00 |
9 |
Duke |
305.00 |
| Total Offense |
55 |
388.25 |
Houston |
581.23 |
6 |
Georgia Tech |
442.69 |
| Scoring Offense |
28 |
31.42 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
4 |
Georgia Tech |
35.31 |
| Rushing Defense |
52 |
138.67 |
Texas |
62.15 |
4 |
North Carolina |
92.83 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
6 |
96.19 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
96.19 |
| Total Defense |
14 |
300.08 |
TCU |
233.25 |
2 |
North Carolina |
267.75 |
| Scoring Defense |
11 |
15.75 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
15.75 |
| Net Punting |
27 |
37.37 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
37.37 |
| Punt Returns |
42 |
10.52 |
LSU |
18.64 |
6 |
Florida St. |
16.81 |
| Kickoff Returns |
21 |
24.03 |
TCU |
30.62 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
24.03 |
| Turnover Margin |
16 |
.67 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
.67 |
| Pass Defense |
6 |
161.42 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
1 |
Virginia Tech |
161.42 |
| Passing Efficiency |
13 |
150.17 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
2 |
Georgia Tech |
157.43 |
| Sacks |
29 |
2.50 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
3 |
Clemson |
2.62 |
| Tackles For Loss |
32 |
6.50 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
4 |
North Carolina |
8.42 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-92 |
2.50 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
8 |
Georgia Tech |
.69 |
Tennessee (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
43 |
169.83 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
7 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
47 |
225.58 |
Houston |
450.00 |
3 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
48 |
395.42 |
Houston |
581.23 |
6 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
32 |
30.58 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
5 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
58 |
142.92 |
Texas |
62.15 |
7 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
8 |
99.98 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
3 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
17 |
308.83 |
TCU |
233.25 |
4 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
27 |
21.00 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
6 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
83 |
34.64 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
9 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
55 |
9.33 |
LSU |
18.64 |
6 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
28 |
23.75 |
TCU |
30.62 |
6 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
41 |
.33 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
5 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
10 |
165.92 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
4 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
40 |
135.56 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
5 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
T-78 |
1.67 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
8 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
T-69 |
5.50 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
8 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-12 |
1.00 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
1 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Preview by: chrisishokie
On New Years’ Eve, all eyes will be upon the Chick Fil a Peach bowl in Atlanta
between Tennessee and Virginia Tech. Tennessee comes into this game 7-5 (4-4
in the SEC). In their
first year under Lane Kiffin, the Volunteers had a
successful season, considering that with a victory in this game they will reach
8 wins. Their best win was against South Carolina, and they played both Florida
and Alabama very tough. I’m sure many Vol fans would argue they should have won
the Alabama game, so this is definitely a good team. Tennessee comes into this
game winning 4 of its last 5 while averaging 33 points a game. The Volunteers
have gotten hot at the right
time and will look to keep it that way in their
final game of the season. Virginia Tech comes into this game 9-3 (6-2 in the
ACC). Some might say this was a disappointing season for the Hokies, but we
should still expect this team to be pumped up for this bowl game. The Hokies
best win came against coming against either Nebraska or Miami. They too played
Alabama tough but fell just short. Similar to Tennessee, Virginia Tech is
coming into this game rolling, winning their last 4 games by an average score
of 33-9. Tech’s defense has been much improved in the last 4 games, and it will
be a tough task to try and slow down Tennessee.
Key Matchups:
Eric Berry vs. Tyrod
Taylor- Eric Berry is the Thorpe Award winner this season,
which is given to the best defensive back in college football. One of his main
jobs in this game will be to keep an eye on Tyrod Taylor and his scrambling
ability. Berry is a freak of an athlete and is most people’s top safety for the
NFL draft next season. He must contain Taylor and keep him from breaking off any
long runs. Taylor must be accurate in this game. One mistake could be costly,
and it wouldn’t be surprising if Eric Berry was the reason for that mistake.
Playing in his home state of Georgia, expect Berry to end his career on a high
note (assuming of course he goes to the NFL).
Ryan Williams vs. Tennessee’s Linebackers- Tennessee has plenty of injuries at
the linebacker position coming into this game. That could be a huge factor in
deciding how well Virginia Tech runs the ball in this game. Yes, a D-line can
shut down a team’s running game, but if the running back
breaks through that,
the linebackers are next in line to
stop the rusher. With second and third
string linebackers for Tennessee, Williams could have a big day, which he is
accustomed to lately. In his last 4 games, Williams ran for 120 yards in every
single one while
posting 9 touchdowns. It would not be a surprise if he ends the
season with an outstanding game.
Tennessee’s
Special Teams vs. Virginia Tech’s Special Teams- This might be the
one biggest deciding factor for this game. Tennessee has struggled on special
teams this season, while this is where Virginia Tech excels. Tennessee must
contain the return men on kickoffs and punt returns. With this game most likely
coming down to one possession or two, a big special teams’ play could determine
who wins this game. The Vols will have had plenty of time to work on field
goals leading up to the game. They have had numerous blocked field goal
attempts during the season. It will be a necessity to have all that
straightened out, or Beamer Ball could strike again.
This is a very exciting matchup. Two great running backs in Ryan Williams and
Montario Hardesty will be featured. The quarterback play is going to be very
important for both teams. Crompton and Taylor need to be consistent and limit
their mistakes for their teams to be successful. The two defenses will be ready
to go, led by defensive gurus Monte Kiffin and Bud Foster. Expect plenty of
blitz packages and a well called game from both of them. Both of these teams
come in playing very well. One of them has to lose unfortunately. All we can
ask for is a great final game to end the season by both teams.
Prediction- Virginia Tech 24 Tennessee 20
Outback Bowl

VS
Northwestern (8-4) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big Ten
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
93 |
119.92 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
8 |
Wisconsin |
206.67 |
| Passing Offense |
29 |
266.08 |
Houston |
450.00 |
2 |
Michigan St. |
271.17 |
| Total Offense |
57 |
386.00 |
Houston |
581.23 |
6 |
Wisconsin |
415.83 |
| Scoring Offense |
76 |
25.17 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
7 |
Wisconsin |
32.75 |
| Rushing Defense |
36 |
123.50 |
Texas |
62.15 |
6 |
Ohio St. |
83.42 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
53 |
126.48 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
6 |
Iowa |
91.93 |
| Total Defense |
44 |
344.25 |
TCU |
233.25 |
5 |
Ohio St. |
262.50 |
| Scoring Defense |
48 |
23.33 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
5 |
Penn St. |
11.83 |
| Net Punting |
115 |
31.66 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
11 |
Michigan |
40.93 |
| Punt Returns |
90 |
6.58 |
LSU |
18.64 |
9 |
Minnesota |
14.67 |
| Kickoff Returns |
90 |
20.37 |
TCU |
30.62 |
8 |
Michigan St. |
26.66 |
| Turnover Margin |
T-31 |
.42 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
3 |
Ohio St. |
1.33 |
| Pass Defense |
68 |
220.75 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
7 |
Iowa |
164.67 |
| Passing Efficiency |
51 |
131.99 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
4 |
Michigan St. |
146.09 |
| Sacks |
40 |
2.25 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
7 |
Penn St. |
2.92 |
| Tackles For Loss |
86 |
5.17 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
11 |
Penn St. |
8.25 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-88 |
2.42 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
9 |
Michigan St. |
1.08 |
Auburn (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
13 |
213.83 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
4 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
56 |
218.50 |
Houston |
450.00 |
5 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
21 |
432.33 |
Houston |
581.23 |
3 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
20 |
32.92 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
3 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
80 |
161.67 |
Texas |
62.15 |
10 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
27 |
113.62 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
7 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
51 |
353.50 |
TCU |
233.25 |
8 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
73 |
26.92 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
12 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
65 |
35.42 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
7 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
113 |
4.46 |
LSU |
18.64 |
12 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
30 |
23.59 |
TCU |
30.62 |
8 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
59 |
.00 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
8 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
28 |
191.83 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
8 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
18 |
146.04 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
3 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
48 |
2.08 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
7 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
50 |
5.92 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
7 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
39 |
1.50 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
6 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Preview by GTucker
When we finally awake on New Year's, the first game we will see is the
Outback Bowl. Auburn has became accustomed to playing in bowl games to
start off the new year, while this is something very unorthodox for
Northwestern. Northwestern (8-4,5-3) will be playing for only the
fourth time ever in school history on New Year's Day.
Both these teams seem to get it done the same way: a stifling offense,
with a defense that can perform when necessary. Both teams' last game
of the season puts it all in perspective. Auburn shutdown the
soon-to-be Heisman Winner in Mark Ingram, and they almost upset the #1
team in the nation. As for Northwestern, they did perform an upset of
#24 Wisconsin, and undoubtedly getting themselves to Tampa to play in
the Outback Bowl. The Wildcats are looking for their second bowl win in
school history, as they are 1-6 all time. Meanwhile, the Tigers come
strolling in with a record of 19-13-2.
The Wildcats offense averaged 386 yards a game throughout the season,
ranking 57th in the country. Breaking that number down even more, they
passed the football right up there with the top teams in the nation
with 282 yards a game, which ranked 29th. The passing attack had to be
there with the lack of ability to run the football. One hundred-twenty
yards won't get it done. That's a huge weakness and it could effect the
outcome of the game.
Auburn's offensive attack, headed by the spread offense genius, Gus
Malzahn, come in with a entirely different approach to the game.
Malzahn's tricks helped his offense accumulate 432 total yards a game,
ranking at 21st among the country. They definitely have a rushing
attack. Senior Ben Tate and freshman Onterio McCaleb worked together
for most of the season, leading the Tigers to a 13th overall ranking at
214 rushing yards a game. As for the passing game, it's not too bad
either. Chris Todd came back from shoulder surgery and slung the ball
across the field the entire season. With the way the running game went,
233 yards and a 53rd overall ranking isn't bad at all.
Now to the X-Factors:
Northwestern's offense revolves around one guy and it's very evident
with his stats. Quarterback Mike Kafka is a do-it-all QB. This season,
he threw for 12 TDs, along with 7 INTs. To add to those numbers, the
guy has 7 rushing TDs, which leads Northwestern. The running game from
the running backs haven't been there this season, so it seems that
Kafka put it on himself to carry load; and that has been what he has
done indeed. If he comes to play and is ready for Auburn's athletic
defense, Kafka could easily lead his team to an Outback Bowl victory.
However, he'll need some help coming from somewhere.
Andrew Brewer has been Kafka's favorite target throughout the year. He
will have to step his game up against a very good Auburn secondary,
lead by Walter McFadden. Brewer caught more than half of Kafka's TD
passes with 7, so look for the two to try to hook up in the red zone.
Brewer snagged 49 receptions for 792 yards, along with those 7 TDs
during the season. He will be huge for the Wildcat offense.
This could be the most important factor to the game, besides which
teams' defense steps up: production from the Northwestern backfield.
Northwestern cannot feel good about the leader of their offense running
the football and potentially taking some big hits from the defense. If
the rushing attack can be just a bit successful, it could open the
passing game more for Kafka.
Obviously, Auburn is going to try to get the running game opened up
early with Ben Tate. If the ball is moved repeatedly by the Tigers,
look forward to an easy stroll in the park for Auburn. The Northwestern
defense is nothing to ride home about, and the last thing they need is
a SEC power-back running around, over, and through them. He averaged
5.2 yards a carry this season, so if Northwestern can't stop him,
they'll be in big trouble.
If Auburn wants to succeed, they will have to get some production from
the receivers, most notably Darvin Adams and Terrell Zachery. As the
season progressed, they seemed to improve and make themselves more
available. The bottom line is this: if they can do well against SEC
defenses, this should be a field day for the two of them. I'm sure
Malzahn has came up with some tricks to use to utilize these guys even
more, but they'll have to catch the football. They both have great
stats: Adams- 48 receptions for 855 yards and 10 TDs; Zachery- 24
receptions for 466 yards and 5 TDs. In my opinion, I think they could
torch the Wildcat D in this one.
Here's my biggest factor for Auburn: the all-around defense. They have
some great players and leaders at each level on defense. Antonio
Coleman heads the D-Line, and they will be coming after Mike Kafka. He
better be ready to run. At the linebackers, you have Josh Bynes, or the
Mark Ingram stopper. Bynes, along with the rest of the Tiger defense
did a great job holding Heisman winner Mark Ingram in-check in the Iron
Bowl. Bynes will try to confuse Kafka as much as he can, while coming
after him and sitting back into coverage. Walter McFadden is the man in
the secondary. Look for him to stay close to Brewer and make it tough
on Kafka as he can easily return an interception for a TD.
Prediction
Not being a homer or anything, but I think Auburn will win this, but
not by as much as experts think. The Northwestern offense will
challenge the Tigers, but I think the difference will be the QB play
and whichever defense can hold it's ground. Saying that, I have to go
with my Tigers. The defense is way too athletic to let Kafka beat them
by himself. Northwestern hs proved it can play defense as well, beating
Wisconsin and Iowa, but this is the SEC. I'm not sure they can handle
it. I also think that Gus Malzahn will play a huge part in this game.
He'll have more and more tricks to showcase. I wouldn't be surprised if
we saw some trickery on the first play of the game. Defensive
coordinator Ted Roof, who was the head coach at Minnesota last year,
knows Northwestern well enough to be prepared for what's coming. I say
Auburn by 2 touchdowns.
Capital One Bowl

VS
LSU (9-3) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
84 |
129.58 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
11 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
99 |
180.08 |
Houston |
450.00 |
9 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
108 |
309.67 |
Houston |
581.23 |
11 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
74 |
25.50 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
10 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
44 |
134.17 |
Texas |
62.15 |
4 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
18 |
107.98 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
5 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
28 |
326.58 |
TCU |
233.25 |
6 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
12 |
16.00 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
3 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
14 |
38.23 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
3 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
1 |
18.64 |
LSU |
18.64 |
1 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
111 |
18.66 |
TCU |
30.62 |
12 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
20 |
.58 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
3 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
29 |
192.42 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
9 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
49 |
132.03 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
7 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
T-78 |
1.67 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
8 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
42 |
6.17 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
6 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
107 |
2.92 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
12 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Penn State (10-2) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big Ten
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
38 |
173.58 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
5 |
Wisconsin |
206.67 |
| Passing Offense |
40 |
238.92 |
Houston |
450.00 |
5 |
Michigan St. |
271.17 |
| Total Offense |
36 |
412.50 |
Houston |
581.23 |
2 |
Wisconsin |
415.83 |
| Scoring Offense |
41 |
29.67 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
2 |
Wisconsin |
32.75 |
| Rushing Defense |
10 |
93.92 |
Texas |
62.15 |
3 |
Ohio St. |
83.42 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
14 |
104.06 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
3 |
Iowa |
91.93 |
| Total Defense |
8 |
277.08 |
TCU |
233.25 |
2 |
Ohio St. |
262.50 |
| Scoring Defense |
4 |
11.83 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
1 |
Penn St. |
11.83 |
| Net Punting |
106 |
32.86 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
10 |
Michigan |
40.93 |
| Punt Returns |
107 |
4.88 |
LSU |
18.64 |
10 |
Minnesota |
14.67 |
| Kickoff Returns |
108 |
19.15 |
TCU |
30.62 |
11 |
Michigan St. |
26.66 |
| Turnover Margin |
T-46 |
.25 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
5 |
Ohio St. |
1.33 |
| Pass Defense |
19 |
183.17 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
3 |
Iowa |
164.67 |
| Passing Efficiency |
21 |
144.48 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
2 |
Michigan St. |
146.09 |
| Sacks |
8 |
2.92 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
1 |
Penn St. |
2.92 |
| Tackles For Loss |
6 |
8.25 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
1 |
Penn St. |
8.25 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-27 |
1.33 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
2 |
Michigan St. |
1.08 |
Allstate Sugar Bowl

VS
Cincinnati (12-0) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big East
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
65 |
143.92 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
5 |
Pittsburgh |
184.58 |
| Passing Offense |
6 |
320.33 |
Houston |
450.00 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
320.33 |
| Total Offense |
6 |
464.25 |
Houston |
581.23 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
464.25 |
| Scoring Offense |
6 |
39.83 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
39.83 |
| Rushing Defense |
56 |
141.00 |
Texas |
62.15 |
7 |
Syracuse |
101.83 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
40 |
119.27 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
4 |
West Virginia |
112.55 |
| Total Defense |
48 |
350.25 |
TCU |
233.25 |
6 |
Rutgers |
312.17 |
| Scoring Defense |
T-25 |
20.75 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
3 |
Rutgers |
17.42 |
| Net Punting |
108 |
32.76 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
8 |
West Virginia |
39.10 |
| Punt Returns |
19 |
13.00 |
LSU |
18.64 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
13.00 |
| Kickoff Returns |
2 |
29.20 |
TCU |
30.62 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
29.20 |
| Turnover Margin |
T-12 |
.75 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
2 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
| Pass Defense |
50 |
209.25 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
4 |
South Fla. |
191.00 |
| Passing Efficiency |
1 |
166.19 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
| Sacks |
T-8 |
2.92 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
2 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
| Tackles For Loss |
3 |
8.42 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
2 |
Rutgers |
8.50 |
| Sacks Allowed |
10 |
.92 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
1 |
Cincinnati |
.92 |
Florida (12-1) Breakdown
AT&T Cotton Bowl
VS
Oklahoma State (9-3) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big 12
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
24 |
191.75 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
1 |
Oklahoma St. |
191.75 |
| Passing Offense |
93 |
184.50 |
Houston |
450.00 |
9 |
Texas Tech |
380.67 |
| Total Offense |
62 |
376.25 |
Houston |
581.23 |
7 |
Texas A&M |
465.33 |
| Scoring Offense |
37 |
30.17 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
6 |
Texas |
40.69 |
| Rushing Defense |
6 |
87.67 |
Texas |
62.15 |
2 |
Texas |
62.15 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
28 |
113.75 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
4 |
Nebraska |
90.54 |
| Total Defense |
33 |
329.92 |
TCU |
233.25 |
4 |
Texas |
251.08 |
| Scoring Defense |
T-36 |
21.75 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
4 |
Nebraska |
11.23 |
| Net Punting |
58 |
35.83 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
5 |
Oklahoma |
40.86 |
| Punt Returns |
17 |
13.08 |
LSU |
18.64 |
3 |
Oklahoma |
16.72 |
| Kickoff Returns |
116 |
18.42 |
TCU |
30.62 |
12 |
Texas |
27.38 |
| Turnover Margin |
54 |
.17 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
7 |
Texas |
.92 |
| Pass Defense |
93 |
242.25 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
8 |
Oklahoma |
184.92 |
| Passing Efficiency |
42 |
135.12 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
6 |
Texas |
143.70 |
| Sacks |
48 |
2.08 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
9 |
Texas Tech |
3.25 |
| Tackles For Loss |
51 |
5.83 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
8 |
Texas |
8.08 |
| Sacks Allowed |
5 |
.83 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
1 |
Oklahoma St. |
.83 |
Ole Miss (8-4) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
33 |
182.83 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
6 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
53 |
222.75 |
Houston |
450.00 |
4 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
42 |
405.58 |
Houston |
581.23 |
5 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
35 |
30.25 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
6 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
55 |
140.33 |
Texas |
62.15 |
6 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
15 |
105.10 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
4 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
24 |
319.33 |
TCU |
233.25 |
5 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
17 |
18.58 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
4 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
52 |
36.06 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
5 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
76 |
7.75 |
LSU |
18.64 |
9 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
29 |
23.64 |
TCU |
30.62 |
7 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
105 |
-.75 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
11 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
16 |
179.00 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
6 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
54 |
130.63 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
8 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
12 |
2.83 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
1 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
10 |
7.67 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
1 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
21 |
1.17 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
4 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Preview by RaleighRebel
I
am still not over the Egg Bowl. I keep thinking about disowning the
Rebels in football...but dammit, I just can't do it. In a season that
started off with such high expectations, I tried to remain realistic.
However, 8 wins is less than I expected. Oh well, 2 straight New Years
Day bowls is not something that has been the norm in Oxford since the
days of Johnny Vaught, so on to the preview...
This
is a rematch of the 2003 Cotton Bowl, Eli Manning's last game in an Ole
Miss uniform. The Rebels prevailed that day, 31-28. Will history
repeat itself?
Ole
Miss has played great and they have played awful, I am not sure which
team is the real one. Against Ark, UT, and LSU, they looked like the
team that could challenge for the SEC West. Against USCe, TSWNSNBS,
Bama, and AU, they looked like a joke. Snead has been so hit and
miss. The defense has been outstanding aside from 2 games. McCluster
and Hodge have been spectacular and consistent all season. Which parts
will come together on January 2nd
is yet to be seen. Quick trivia for you: Who had better stats their JR
year, Eli Manning or Snead? Go look it up, you will be surprised...
Oklahoma
State came into this season with the same lofty expectations as Ole
Miss...they too crashed and burned. Losing star WR Dez Bryant
certainly did not help. The Cowboys still had BCS hopes however, until
they were dismantled by rival OU...without Sam Bradford. OSU is stout
against the run, and good against the pass as well. They can run the
football, and get it done through the air also when Robinson is on.
What was thought to be a weakness, OSU defense, turned out to be pretty
good. Sound familiar? These 2 teams are nearly mirror images of one
another.
This
is a game of two teams with similar seasons, that had similar regular
season endings. At the end of the day, I think the Rebels are too
disappointed to give it their best in this game. The Seniors will be
fine, but Snead will crack and the Defense will have too many holes in
the ground game.
Oklahoma State – 34
Ole Miss - 28
PapaJohns.com Bowl
VS
Connecticut (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big East
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
41 |
172.75 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
3 |
Pittsburgh |
184.58 |
| Passing Offense |
46 |
225.67 |
Houston |
450.00 |
2 |
Cincinnati |
320.33 |
| Total Offense |
47 |
398.42 |
Houston |
581.23 |
3 |
Cincinnati |
464.25 |
| Scoring Offense |
23 |
32.08 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
3 |
Cincinnati |
39.83 |
| Rushing Defense |
48 |
137.58 |
Texas |
62.15 |
5 |
Syracuse |
101.83 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
104 |
143.45 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
7 |
West Virginia |
112.55 |
| Total Defense |
72 |
382.42 |
TCU |
233.25 |
8 |
Rutgers |
312.17 |
| Scoring Defense |
60 |
25.00 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
6 |
Rutgers |
17.42 |
| Net Punting |
22 |
37.68 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
2 |
West Virginia |
39.10 |
| Punt Returns |
31 |
11.53 |
LSU |
18.64 |
2 |
Cincinnati |
13.00 |
| Kickoff Returns |
10 |
26.00 |
TCU |
30.62 |
2 |
Cincinnati |
29.20 |
| Turnover Margin |
54 |
.17 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
4 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
| Pass Defense |
94 |
244.83 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
8 |
South Fla. |
191.00 |
| Passing Efficiency |
61 |
129.20 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
5 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
| Sacks |
29 |
2.50 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
5 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
| Tackles For Loss |
73 |
5.42 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
8 |
Rutgers |
8.50 |
| Sacks Allowed |
48 |
1.67 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
4 |
Cincinnati |
.92 |
South Carolina (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
91 |
125.00 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
12 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
43 |
234.25 |
Houston |
450.00 |
2 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
76 |
359.25 |
Houston |
581.23 |
9 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
96 |
21.75 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
11 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
46 |
137.00 |
Texas |
62.15 |
5 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
29 |
114.11 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
8 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
15 |
304.67 |
TCU |
233.25 |
3 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
22 |
20.42 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
5 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
93 |
33.85 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
11 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
65 |
8.43 |
LSU |
18.64 |
7 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
66 |
21.55 |
TCU |
30.62 |
10 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
75 |
-.25 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
9 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
12 |
167.67 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
5 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
71 |
125.74 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
9 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
40 |
2.25 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
5 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
37 |
6.42 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
5 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
104 |
2.83 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
11 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
AutoZone Liberty Bowl

VS
East Carolina (9-4) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Conference USA
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
59 |
149.62 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
6 |
UAB |
229.92 |
| Passing Offense |
57 |
218.00 |
Houston |
450.00 |
6 |
Houston |
450.00 |
| Total Offense |
68 |
367.62 |
Houston |
581.23 |
8 |
Houston |
581.23 |
| Scoring Offense |
56 |
27.77 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
6 |
Houston |
43.92 |
| Rushing Defense |
35 |
123.31 |
Texas |
62.15 |
3 |
UCF |
82.50 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
57 |
128.10 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
2 |
SMU |
122.07 |
| Total Defense |
75 |
385.62 |
TCU |
233.25 |
2 |
UCF |
348.08 |
| Scoring Defense |
39 |
22.08 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
2 |
UCF |
20.67 |
| Net Punting |
7 |
39.35 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
1 |
East Carolina |
39.35 |
| Punt Returns |
24 |
12.38 |
LSU |
18.64 |
4 |
SMU |
14.53 |
| Kickoff Returns |
32 |
23.40 |
TCU |
30.62 |
4 |
Southern Miss. |
26.09 |
| Turnover Margin |
8 |
1.00 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
1 |
East Carolina |
1.00 |
| Pass Defense |
110 |
262.31 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
7 |
Tulane |
218.00 |
| Passing Efficiency |
83 |
122.27 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
9 |
Houston |
159.56 |
| Sacks |
53 |
2.00 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
4 |
UCF |
3.08 |
| Tackles For Loss |
27 |
6.69 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
3 |
UCF |
7.58 |
| Sacks Allowed |
9 |
.85 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
1 |
East Carolina |
.85 |
Arkansas (7-5) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
78 |
136.00 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
10 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
10 |
303.33 |
Houston |
450.00 |
1 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
14 |
439.33 |
Houston |
581.23 |
2 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
8 |
37.33 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
1 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
67 |
150.08 |
Texas |
62.15 |
9 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
100 |
140.95 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
12 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
90 |
401.83 |
TCU |
233.25 |
12 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
62 |
25.75 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
9 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
112 |
32.34 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
12 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
69 |
8.31 |
LSU |
18.64 |
8 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
16 |
24.52 |
TCU |
30.62 |
4 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
6 |
1.08 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
2 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
104 |
251.75 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
12 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
9 |
154.39 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
2 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
46 |
2.17 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
6 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
26 |
6.75 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
4 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
T-62 |
2.00 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
8 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Citi BCS National Title Game

VS
Alabama (13-0) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Southeastern
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
12 |
215.85 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
3 |
Mississippi St. |
227.58 |
| Passing Offense |
84 |
197.92 |
Houston |
450.00 |
8 |
Arkansas |
303.33 |
| Total Offense |
35 |
413.77 |
Houston |
581.23 |
4 |
Florida |
442.38 |
| Scoring Offense |
26 |
31.69 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
4 |
Arkansas |
37.33 |
| Rushing Defense |
2 |
77.92 |
Texas |
62.15 |
1 |
Alabama |
77.92 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
1 |
88.81 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
1 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
| Total Defense |
2 |
241.69 |
TCU |
233.25 |
1 |
Alabama |
241.69 |
| Scoring Defense |
1 |
11.00 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
1 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
| Net Punting |
80 |
34.71 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
8 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
| Punt Returns |
5 |
15.78 |
LSU |
18.64 |
2 |
LSU |
18.64 |
| Kickoff Returns |
12 |
24.97 |
TCU |
30.62 |
2 |
Florida |
26.08 |
| Turnover Margin |
5 |
1.23 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
1 |
Alabama |
1.23 |
| Pass Defense |
7 |
163.77 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
2 |
Florida |
151.46 |
| Passing Efficiency |
31 |
140.81 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
4 |
Florida |
160.90 |
| Sacks |
35 |
2.38 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
3 |
Mississippi |
2.83 |
| Tackles For Loss |
19 |
7.00 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
3 |
Mississippi |
7.67 |
| Sacks Allowed |
19 |
1.15 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
3 |
Georgia |
1.00 |
Texas (13-0) Breakdown
| Category |
National
Rank |
Actual |
National
Leader |
Actual |
Conf
Rank |
Big 12
Conference Leader |
Actual |
| Rushing Offense |
55 |
152.69 |
Nevada |
362.25 |
5 |
Oklahoma St. |
191.75 |
| Passing Offense |
14 |
279.69 |
Houston |
450.00 |
4 |
Texas Tech |
380.67 |
| Total Offense |
20 |
432.38 |
Houston |
581.23 |
3 |
Texas A&M |
465.33 |
| Scoring Offense |
3 |
40.69 |
Boise St. |
44.15 |
1 |
Texas |
40.69 |
| Rushing Defense |
1 |
62.15 |
Texas |
62.15 |
1 |
Texas |
62.15 |
| Pass Efficiency Defense |
11 |
101.25 |
Alabama |
88.81 |
3 |
Nebraska |
90.54 |
| Total Defense |
3 |
251.08 |
TCU |
233.25 |
1 |
Texas |
251.08 |
| Scoring Defense |
8 |
15.15 |
Alabama |
11.00 |
3 |
Nebraska |
11.23 |
| Net Punting |
97 |
33.70 |
Georgia |
42.84 |
11 |
Oklahoma |
40.86 |
| Punt Returns |
15 |
13.17 |
LSU |
18.64 |
2 |
Oklahoma |
16.72 |
| Kickoff Returns |
4 |
27.38 |
TCU |
30.62 |
1 |
Texas |
27.38 |
| Turnover Margin |
9 |
.92 |
Rutgers |
1.67 |
1 |
Texas |
.92 |
| Pass Defense |
23 |
188.92 |
Air Force |
148.67 |
2 |
Oklahoma |
184.92 |
| Passing Efficiency |
23 |
143.70 |
Cincinnati |
166.19 |
1 |
Texas |
143.70 |
| Sacks |
7 |
3.00 |
Pittsburgh |
3.75 |
4 |
Texas Tech |
3.25 |
| Tackles For Loss |
7 |
8.08 |
Middle Tenn. |
8.83 |
1 |
Texas |
8.08 |
| Sacks Allowed |
81 |
2.31 |
Boise St. |
.38 |
8 |
Oklahoma St. |
.83 |
Preview by Klink
It’s finally here, the National Championship Game at the Rose Bowl. This is a clash of traditional powerhouses. This is a game with two of the best coaches in college football will meet. This is a game with a Heisman winner, and a two time Heisman finalist. This is a game with 9 All-Americans. This is what college football should be. The #1 Alabama Crimson Tide will square off with the #2 Texas Longhorns on Thursday, and you should be ready for a hell of a game.
Texas Offense vs. Alabama Defense
The two teams that gave Texas and QB Colt McCoy the most trouble were Nebraska and Oklahoma. One of the ways they accomplished this was with a lot of matchup-zone coverage, which disrupted much of Texas’ dink-and-dunk passing game. Expect to see Kirby Smart call many of the same coverages, trying to take away the short-intermediate zones, where McCoy has been most effective. By limiting the Texas wide receivers ability to get separation, the Tide will attempt to take McCoy out of his comfort zone as one of the most effective passers in college football history.
Expect Rolando McClain of the Tide to play a huge role in coverage, as he has all year. The Butkus Award winner is one of the best coverage linebackers in the country, and plays a dual role on pass defense. His first responsibility is the underneath middle in zone coverage. Then, if the pocket begins collapsing, he turns up the heat in a delayed spy role, looking for any running creases that might open up and attacking the quarterback when he looks to run with the ball. He excelled in these roles against Virginia Tech’s Tyrod Taylor and Florida’s Tim Tebow earlier in the year, and will attempt to do the same against McCoy
The most effective way for Texas to slow down Alabama’s aggressive scheme is to attack early on trying to burn the Tide deep. Texas wide receiver Jordan Shipley is the Longhorns’ most versatile threat, but expect Texas to try to work their other wide receivers Malcolm Williams, James Kirkendoll, Maquise Goodwin, and Dan Buckner deep as well. Williams has proven to be the most consistent deep threat for Texas, and may be able to stretch the field if Alabama gets greedy.
Alabama Offense vs. Texas Offense
Texas Defensive Coordinator Will Muschamp is a Saban disciple, and does a great job disguising fronts, coverages, and blitzes. This could prove tricking for the Alabama offensive line and quarterback Greg McElroy. The flexibility of two Texas defenders, defensive end Sergio Kindle and safety Earl Thomas, will allow Texas to switch formations easily without making personnel changes. Kindle is a natural end, but is also adept at linebacker when called upon, while Thomas has shown that he is just as effective in deep middle zone coverage as he is working man-to-man with slot receivers, as well as being able to sneak into the box to support the run defense. It could be difficult for the Tide early in the game to really know what to expect from the Longhorns.
Alabama running back Mark Ingram will get most of his touches on the ground, but may also be more involved than usual in the passing game. He is extremely effective on screens (see the 69 yard gain against Florida), but can also be used on flare and angle routes out of the backfield. If the Longhorns get overly aggressive, these routes could prove useful in burning them, especially on third and long situations. Backup running back Trent Richardson could very well be just as good as Ingram, and expect him to get plenty of carries as well.
Although when people think about the Alabama wide receivers, the first name that comes to mind is wide receiver Julio Jones, it’s actually wide receiver Marquis Maze that Texas should be most worried about. While opponents have been cheating safeties up into the box to try to limit the rushing attack, or rolling a safety over top to limit the big play to Jones, Maze is often left in single coverage. Expect Maze to get the ball on bubble screens, as well as coming out of the slot on the same side of the field with Jones. He’ll also get quick slants and outs on the opposite side of the field as Jones, and possibly the occasional deep post or out and up.
Final Thought
There really isn’t much of a talent gap between these teams. Both have been very effective using their style of play, which are pretty different styles. Alabama’s offense is run first, while Texas uses the passing game more, and that has worked for both teams this season. In the end, it may be Texas’ less than stellar rushing attack and predictability on offense that will hurt them. Against the best defenses they faced in Oklahoma and Nebraska, they were challenged to win by using the vertical passing game, and the Longhorns struggled to do so, putting up 16 and 13 points respectively. Saban and Smart have had over a month to game plan on defense, and this will be the best unit that Texas has faced all season. In the second half, expect Alabama’s powerful rushing attack to take over the game and earn the Crimson Tide their first BCS National Championship.
Prediction
Alabama 27 Texas 17