The two teams couldn’t be more different. One team is from the big slow Midwest, a traditional power, and conservative. The other is from the Wild West, a new kid, and more innovative with their uniforms than Elton John.
Oregon runs their spread offense with a tough as nails QB in Masoli. His ability to run and pass, and create extra time by avoiding a pass rush makes their offense incredibly difficult to stop. Along with the freshman James who is incredibly fast, but also sneaky strong. He is a great running back for the offense that they run in Oregon. Another major strength of the Ducks is Maehl at WR. He runs very good routes, and always seems to be the guy they go to in the tough situations. Dickson at TE is more of a WR/TE hybrid that is a matchup nightmare. Oregon averages almost 38 points a game and will be a great challenge for the Buckeye defense.
The Buckeyes strength is their defense. They have one of the top DL’s in the country led by Cameron Heyward. That unit will need to perform extremely well so the Buckeyes don’t have to blitz to get pressure, and the rest of the back 7 will be able to control the Oregon defense. The Buckeyes zone defense cannot afford breakdowns by the DB’s who have done that from time to time. Expect to see Coleman around the line of scrimmage to stop the run first. The Buckeyes offense has been much maligned even though they average nearly 30 points per game. Pryor has played much better of late, and he will have to be very good against a quick Oregon defense. Pryor leads the team in both passing and rushing, but will need a good deal of help from Saine running ball. Saine will also be used more in the passing game with Small and Carter out of the game for disciplinary reasons. The offense for the Buckeyes will have to score because the defense is not going to be able to hold Oregon under 24 points.
This should be a great game with two contrasting styles. The Buckeyes look to break their recent BCS troubles with a win against a very good Oregon team. This game will be one of the best of the bowl season.
Prediction: Oregon 24
Ohio State 28
The Ducks will look to strike fast in this game, both with the individual speed of the players and the up tempo pace of the plays, the Ducks will come close to running plays twice as fast as the Buckeyes defense is used to. The Buckeyes have a lot of talented d line players and the lack of time between plays will not only test the conditioning of the Buckeyes, but also disrupt their substituting patterns.
Ohio State will look to run a power game against the Ducks, looking at Stanford’s success as a model. The problem with that strategy is that neither Brandon Saine or Dan Herron are Toby Gerhart, and the play-action that worked so well with Luck at quarterback, is not going to be nearly as effective with Pryor’s passing. Ohio State resembles the Washington Huskies much more offensively with Pryor and Locker both physically gifted quarterbacks who are still developing their passing proficiencies. The Ducks will situate their defense to stop the run, and force Pryor to beat them with his arm, testing him particularly in 3rd downs and in the red zone.
The Ducks will need to find holes in the Buckeyes defense that has been very stingy this season. Ohio State has a distinct advantage over other defenses the Ducks have gone against in that they do not have to blitz. If they can continue to have success with their front seven staying in place it will slow down the Ducks. The running game, with LaMichael James and Jeremiah Masoli, makes the Ducks go, but their passing game has become more potent as the season has gone on. The Ducks rely on mid-range routes, over the middle of the field to their wide receivers, namely Jeff Maehl and the tight end, Ed Dickson, and rarely run long routes down the sidelines.
Both teams want to win this one; there won’t be an issue of either of them not wanting to be here. Oregon benefited late in the year by being tested and having to come from behind at the end of games. Ohio State won its biggest games, over Penn State and Iowa, late in the season. Turnovers or big special team’s plays could be big parts of this contest.
El Ducko’s call: Oregon 34 Ohio State 24