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2010 Conference USA Preview
2010 Conference USA Preview
By GoldenEagle98
2010 should look somewhat similar to 2009 in Conference USA in one aspect: Offense should be abundant. Houston, Southern Miss, SMU, UTEP, and Tulsa return many of their key components on that side of the ball, and each team had little trouble lighting up the scoreboard last season. But if any of these teams or anyone else in the conference wants to take a step forward and compete with the big boys then improvements must be made on defense. If that can happen then C-USA has a chance to score a couple of upsets over BCS-conference opponents early in the season. With that in mind here is a look at how things should shake out, with teams in each division listed in their projected order of finish. C-USA East
1) Southern Miss - The Golden Eagles return eight starters on a defense
that gave up tons of yards last season, but the unit should be one of
the top two in the conference with a strong defensive line and their
ability to force turnovers. To go along with that defense is an
offense that boasts stud wideout DeAndre Brown and quarterback Austin Davis, and a special teams with electric returner in Tracey Lampley.While the loss of running back Damion Fletcher will not go unnoticed, the Golden Eagles should have enough firepower and experience to
advance to the C-USA championship game for the first time under Larry Fedora. The key game will be a November showdown in Orlando against Cental Florida. If the Golden Eagles win that game, then they will win the division. A good indicator of how far this team has come in year three of the Fedora era will be the season opener in primetime at South
Carolina. Projection: 9-3 overall, 6-2 in C-USA.
2) Central Florida - The Knights return arguably the best defense in
the conference along with workhorse running back Brynn Harvey, although
Harvey may be limited early on by a knee injury. The key to the Golden
Knights success will be the play of one time starting quarterback Rob Calabrese. If he can manage the game and stay away from the costly turnovers that cost him his job last season, the Knights have a chance to stay close in every game on their schedule. Provided Harvey can come back healthy and the defense can stay injury free, then the Knights have a good shot at winning the division as well. The aforementioned showdown with Southern Miss should determine the winner of the division. Projection: 7-5 overall, 5-3 in C-USA
3) East Carolina - Gone is the successful Skip Holtz and in is Ruffin
McNeill, an ECU alum who was defensive coordinator at Texas Tech under Mike Leach. While the Pirates lost their quarterback and most of their defense, the cupboard is hardly bare (by C-USA standards) with the return of playmaker Dwayne Harris and running back Jonathan Williams, who has made strides in the spring. A brutal schedule will make life
difficult in McNeill's first year with the Pirates, with trips to
Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Southern Miss, and UCF as well as a visit from Navy. There is a good chance however that the Pirates can
end up bowl eligible. Projection: 6-6 overall, 3-5 in C-USA
4) Marshall - The Thundering Herd are a talented team returning 14
starters, including seven on a defense that should perform better than
most in the league. It is still to be determined whether returning
starter Brian Anderson or Clemson transfer Willy Korn will be at the helm of the offense, but either guy will have a talented receiving corp to throw to. The loss of Darius Marshall in the backfield will loom large though, and it will also be interesting to see how new coach Doc Holliday will handle a brutal schedule the first half of the season. If Marshall can pull off an upset early, then a second or third place finish in the division isn't completely out of the question.
Projection: 5-7 overall, 3-5 in C-USA
5) UAB - The fate of the Neil Callaway era will rest on how the Blazers adjust to life without quarterback Joe Webb, who literally carried most of the offensive load last year. A few pieces are in place with
receiver Fantrell Forrest being the Blazers go to guy, but uncertainty at quarterback and running back will make it a struggle early on. The defense returns experience across the board, but it must vastly improve upon constantly giving up big plays. The schedule isn't easy, and with
so many question marks on offense the Blazers will be hard pressed to build any momentum from last seasons success, which doesn't bode well for Callaway. Projection: 3-9 overall, 1-7 C-USA
6) Memphis - Like UAB, the Tigers have many question marks across the
board. New head coach Larry Porter will start the year with a very
inexperienced defense and a revamped offense, and he is hoping that several junior college transfers can help the Tigers become competitive quickly. Gone is the spread and in is quarterback Cannon "my daddy got me the starting job at Memphis" Smith (see FEDEX), a Miami transfer, to run a pro style offense. The good news is that the offensive line returns virtually in tact. The bad news is that the schedule is very unfriendly. There is a possibility that the Tigers could go winless, but more than likely there is enough talent to squeak out a couple of wins. Projection: 1-11 overall, 0-8 C-USA
C-USA West
1) Houston - The Cougars had a satisfying yet disappointing season in 2009, notching upsets over Oklahoma State and Texas Tech on the way to ten wins. Losses in three of their last five games was a letdown after such a promising start for Houston, who will look to rebound from failing to capture the conference title with the return of every significant skill player on offense, including quarterback Case Kennum. Keenum has a great chance to duplicate his spectacular numbers from last season, and scoring will be no problem for the Cougars. The question mark will come on defense, with a new coordinator, a new scheme, and several new faces. If that side of the ball can gel quickly, then Houston could be looking at another ten win season, with a conference title this time around more certain. Prediction: 10-2 overall, 7-1 in C-USA.
2) Tulsa - The Golden Hurricane were easily the most surprising team in the conference last year, albeit because they failed to live up to their preseason hype as conference favorites. Most of that cast returns, including stud wideout and return man Damaris Johnson, and it hard to believe that with one of the more talented teams in the conference that Tulsa will drop as many games as they did last year. Of course like most teams in C-USA, the performance of the defense will dictate whether Tulsa can move back into the upper tier of the division. Although the schedule isn't easy, look for the Golden Hurricane to find enough success to be in the hunt for the division when they travel to Houston in November. Prediction: 8-4 overall, 6-2 in C-USA.
3) SMU - The Mustangs had a huge turnaround in 2009 under June Jones, winning eight games, the culmination being a 35 point demolition of Nevada in the Hawaii Bowl. Most of the skill players return on offnese, with quarterback Kyle Padron leading the way. The Mustangs did lose their best player in receiver and return man Emmanuel Sanders, but the rest of offense should be able to score enough to keep the Mustangs competitive. The defense has some veterans, and the younger players on that side of the ball are talented. Look for SMU to earn a bowl berth again this year, but they are still a year away from competing for the divison. Prediciton: 7-5 overall, 6-2 in C-USA.
4) UTEP - Like Tulsa, the Miners failed to live up to expectations last season, showing their potential in a win over Houston and the sad reality in losses to Tulane, Rice, and Memphis. Mike Price does have some talent returning on offense in running back Donald Buckram, who should find success again this year behind a veteran offensive line. Again, like most other teams in the conference, defense was the teams undoing. That area should improve this season, but by how much will determine whether UTEP can break a four year bowl drought. A soft schedule gives the Miners a chance to fulfill that expectation, with a home game against SMU on November 6th being pivotal in the Miners bowl hopes. Prediciton: 7-5 overall, 4-4 in C-USA.
5) Rice - The Owls struggled to do much right last year, although they did win two of their last three. Transfers will lead the way on offense this year, notably sophomore Taylor Cook from Miami at quarterback. Their is some experience at receiver, and the offensive line is somewhat intact. With a new scheme and so many new faces, the Owls must adjust quickly to find success. One of the worst defenses in the country last season returns several starters, but for Rice to hope to have a winning record their must be major improvement. Don't look for that to happen just yet. Rice does have a favorable schedule, and home games against Northwestern and Baylor will show if the Owls have the potential to eek out a few victories or if this season will be a repeat of last year's two victory campaign. Prediction: 3-9 overall, 2-6 in C-USA.
6) Tulane - This could be Bob Toledo's swan song in New Orleans, as he has averaged three wins per season heading into season number four at the helm. The Green Wave did show some promise last year with the emergence of quarterback Ryan Griffin, who performed well as a freshman, notably at home. Virtually all of the offensive line and the Green Wave's best receiver return this year, but the rest of the offense and most of the defense are untested. The defense should improve, and the good news is that the Green Wave have seven home games on the docket. Look for another agonizing season for Toledo, who has a team that is good enough to be competitive but lacking the firepower to improve their win total from 2009. Prediction: 3-9 overall, 1-7 in C-USA. Conference Championship - Houston over Southern Miss Offensive MVP - Case Keenum, Houston Defensive MVP - Mario Harvey, Marshall
COMMENTS
I really should check myself. There, not their.
Great job Goldeneagles...I think you are spot on with your picks. The only issue I would take is that East Carolina finishes 3-5 in CUSA. That would mean we would be 3-1 in our OOC, which would really be unexpected. I see more like 4-4 in conference, 2-2 out.
If ECU doesnt wint he East, I hope USM does...you guys certainly have some big pieces.
I meant 5-3 in C-USA with UCF winning the head to head vs. ECU. I should have been more thorough when I looked over it because I have ECU beating NC State, Memphis, Marshall, UAB, Rice, and SMU.
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